What is a bull vs. bear market?

Bull market and bear market are terms used to describe stock market behaviors. Bull markets are periods characterized by economic growth where stock prices trend upward, and bear markets occur when stock prices decline at least 20% below their most recent high. This article covers the characteristics of both and how they can affect your financial strategy. 



Key takeaways:

  • Normal market behavior includes a cycle of ebbs and flows.
  • The overall trend of the stock market has been upwards over time.
  • Bull markets tend to last longer than bear markets.
  • Rather than trying to time the market, it’s best to take a consistent approach to investing.

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What is a bull market?

The stock market experiences ups and downs due to multiple influences—the state of the economy, investor confidence (or lack of it), and major political events, to name a few. These high and low periods are often described as bull and bear markets. A bull market occurs when stock prices rise 20% above their recent low and stay on that upward trajectory. It’s a reflection of investor optimism.

How long does a bull market usually last?

The duration of bull markets can vary widely. Generally, bull markets last for about five years. However, in the 2000s, the U.S. economy enjoyed nearly a decade of strong growth.

 

What is a bear market?

A bear market is characterized by a 20% decline in the market—stock prices dropping 20% below their recent high. While market declines can shake investor confidence, the overall trend of the market has been upward over the years. In fact, pulling out of the market when it starts to decline can mean missing out on major growth opportunities when the market begins to rally. Certain investment strategies can ease the effects of market downturns until the next upward trend comes along (more on that to come).

What causes a bear market?

Bear markets can be caused by several factors. A bear market reflects low investor confidence and can be triggered by a stagnating economy, wars, invasions, tense political climates, and many other factors. As stock prices start to fall, some investors get nervous and sell their poorly performing stocks. As the slump deepens, prices may continue to drop, propelling the downward cycle.

What is the average duration of a bear market?

Bear markets vary in duration but generally last an average of 11 months. The stock market crash of 1929, although devastating, only lasted about two months, and the dot-com bust of 2009 lasted less than 18 months.

Does a bear market mean a recession?

Bear markets have been known to follow a recession. For example, the Great Depression followed the slump that occurred from 1929–1932. However, it’s important to note that a bear market doesn’t necessarily cause a recession, and a recession doesn’t necessarily cause a bear market.

When does a bearish market become bullish?

When the market is declining or stagnating but hasn’t reached the severity of a bear market, it may be referred to as bearish. When this type of market begins to rally but hasn’t risen enough to be definitively labeled as a bull market, it can be described as bullish.

 

Historical examples of bear and bull markets

Throughout history, every bear market has been followed by a period of recovery. Some recovery periods have been slow and labored while others have proven to be quicker and more robust. Here are some examples of past market performance based on the S&P 500®:

Bull vs Bear Timeline

YEARS

MARKET TYPE

MONTHS IT LASTED

BEAR MARKET TRIGGER

ANNUALIZED RETURNS

2023 - 2025

Bull

26 MONTHS1

+24.8%2

2020 - 2022

Bull/Bear

1 MONTH - BEAR
21 MONTHS - BULL
9 MONTH - BEAR

COVID + INFLATION RELATED

+24.6%

2010 - 2019

Bull

131 MONTHS

+15.90

2007 - 2009

Bear

17 MONTHS

REAL ESTATE BUBBLE

-44.70%

2003 - 2006

Bull

60 MONTHS

+15.00%

2000 - 2002

Bear

30 MONTHS

INTERNET BUBBLE + 9/11

-23.30%

1983 - 1999

Bull

211 MONTHS

+16.60%

1981 - 1982

Bear

20 MONTHS

FEDERAL RESERVE + INFLATION

-17.20%

1975 - 1980

Bull

20 MONTHS

+14.30%

1973 - 1974

Bear

20 MONTHS

OIL EMBARGO

-32.60%

1970 - 1973

Bull

31 MONTHS

+23.80%

1969 - 1970

Bear

17 MONTHS

VIETNAM WAR + PROTEST

-27.10%

1957 - 1968

Bull

133 MONTHS

+9.70%

The past performance of the stock market is no guarantee of its future results.

Investing in a bear market vs. bull market

It is possible to put market volatility to work for you, but usually a steady, long-term approach is best. Some investing strategies are useful no matter the state of the market and can help you navigate its inevitable ups and downs. Some of the most common strategies are listed below. Please keep in mind that this article covers general information on investing and should not be taken as individual investment advice. You should always consult with an experienced financial professional.

General strategies to deal with market fluctuations include:

Consistency: Trying to time the market is not a good idea. Rather, investors are encouraged to put money into the market consistently and methodically. For example, if you purchase a stock while its price is high, but you continue to purchase shares when the market dips and the price has fallen, your average purchase price will be lowered, meaning a potentially better return on your investment when the share price goes up again. This is referred to as dollar cost averaging. While it doesn’t guarantee a profit or eliminate the risks of investing, it may help smooth out your portfolio.

Diversification: Having a well-diversified portfolio doesn’t completely illuminate risks, but it does help ease the effects of market fluctuations. Certain asset classes outperform others during bear markets. Bond prices, for instance, tend to move in the opposite direction of equity prices. So, when stock prices dip, bond prices may rise, which can help manage risk within your portfolio. Stocks in public utilities and consumer staples may also provide a buffer in volatile markets because their prices tend to be more stable than some other types of investments. Cash and cash equivalents like money markets are relatively low risk although their rate of return tends to be lower than other investment classes. Real estate is good for diversification, but it’s worth noting that it’s not a liquid asset and it can take longer to access its monetary value. Index funds also offer an accessible way for new investors to take advantage of instant diversification.

Monitoring and recalibration: Maintaining an investment strategy that’s compatible with your stage of life and risk tolerance is crucial. When farther from retirement, investors tend to be more comfortable with investments that have potential for greater growth but come with more exposure to market fluctuations. Because retirement is in the distant future, they have more time for the market to recover if there’s a downturn. As retirement gets closer, many investors take a more conservative approach. The consistent monitoring and rebalancing of your portfolio can help you keep your asset allocations within a level of risk that’s comfortable for your circumstances.

Related: Should I pay off debt or invest?

 

Are we in a bear market or bull market?

The market fluctuates frequently, and it can sometimes be hard to tell its exact status. It may act bullish with promising growth over a sustained period, or it could seem bearish, where prices begin to slide but don’t quite reach the 20% decline that marks a definitive bear market. Market changes are certain, and it’s important to have a strategy that can help you weather its ups and downs.

 

Bear vs. bull market FAQs

It can be said that bullish and bearish behaviors are simply the nature of the beast. The stock market will rise and fall in its normal course, and an upward trend over time has been the norm. A diversified portfolio can help you manage market volatility so that during a bull market you experience growth, and during a bear market, your losses are balanced by assets that are less prone to market dips such as public utilities and bonds. With a consistent pattern of investing, you may also take advantage of opportunities to buy quality stocks for a lower price during a bear market.

Bull and bear markets are associated with the behaviors of their respective namesakes. A bear, or receding market, reflects a bear’s practice of hibernating during the winter. On the other hand, a bull market describes a growing market that can be likened to a bull’s tendency to charge.

The most recent bear market in the United States occurred in April 2022. Rising inflation and global unrest caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine were among the contributing factors.

Efforts to time the market tend to fall flat. Investors are generally advised to adopt a steady, methodical approach to the market, which involves investing consistently regardless of market conditions. This approach helps balance out your exposure to the highs and lows of the market and allows you to take advantage of dollar cost averaging.

A bear market can be the signal of a weakening economy and rising inflation, which could lead the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. However, the bear market itself generally does not have a direct impact on interest rates. The overall state of the economy and factors like inflation have a more direct effect on interest rates.

Stock prices tend to drop during a bear market because investors tend to be less optimistic, leading to more of them selling their shares while fewer are willing to buy. This causes supply to outpace demand. Prolonged selling trends can cause investor confidence to drop further, fueling a downward cycle.

Bear markets tend to have shorter durations than bull markets, with bear markets lasting roughly 11 months and bull markets lasting about five years3 on average. Historically, the market tends to return to its previous high within a few years. A steady, diversified investment strategy can help prepare you for market ups and downs. 

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1Guggenheim Investments. “S&P 500® Index Historical Trends

2Macrotrends. “S&P 500 Historical Annual Returns (1927-2025)

3Schwab Center for Financial Research. “Bear Market: Now What?”, April 7, 2025